Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.162079 0.187552 0.215686 0.249062 0.287579 0.330639 0.382444
2025-10-26 0.121621 0.155670 0.197154 0.251409 0.320519 0.405657 0.518608
2025-11-02 0.097870 0.134349 0.181922 0.248494 0.339296 0.458926 0.628753
2025-11-09 0.080007 0.116298 0.166332 0.240330 0.347060 0.495600 0.718449
2025-11-16 0.070705 0.108002 0.161957 0.245668 0.372389 0.557312 0.848329
2025-11-23 0.062438 0.099706 0.155995 0.247154 0.391253 0.610646 0.970999
2025-11-30 0.056311 0.093645 0.152295 0.251068 0.413490 0.670529 1.109504
2025-12-07 0.049438 0.085369 0.143917 0.246165 0.420575 0.706662 1.213244
2025-12-14 0.044033 0.078766 0.137327 0.243136 0.429911 0.746728 1.327027
2025-12-21 0.040433 0.074770 0.134555 0.246092 0.449433 0.805408 1.478524
2025-12-28 0.038557 0.073578 0.136441 0.257330 0.484551 0.894380 1.693025
2026-01-04 0.036257 0.071299 0.136055 0.264244 0.512310 0.972663 1.895926
2026-01-11 0.033963 0.068824 0.135144 0.270282 0.539518 1.053569 2.114543
2026-01-18 0.031449 0.065624 0.132508 0.272695 0.560026 1.124040 2.321160
2026-01-25 0.028618 0.061427 0.127414 0.269536 0.568908 1.172458 2.488485
2026-02-01 0.025550 0.056361 0.119989 0.260682 0.564989 1.194528 2.603467
2026-02-08 0.024184 0.054769 0.119553 0.266471 0.592417 1.283647 2.869857
2026-02-15 0.022581 0.052459 0.117324 0.268083 0.610895 1.355585 3.106472
2026-02-22 0.021340 0.050815 0.116350 0.272327 0.635567 1.443201 3.387211
2026-03-01 0.019496 0.047560 0.111428 0.267010 0.637878 1.481427 3.559029
2026-03-08 0.017977 0.044897 0.107569 0.263726 0.644505 1.529958 3.760009
2026-03-15 0.017020 0.043489 0.106483 0.266931 0.666890 1.617126 4.062798
2026-03-22 0.016679 0.043574 0.108968 0.279116 0.712427 1.763572 4.526499